An opinion poll has tipped Ghana’s main opposition leader, John Dramani Mahama, to win December’s presidential election.
The opinion poll showed on Monday, placed him ahead of his main challenger, ruling party candidate Muhamudu Bawumia.
Global InfoAnalytics, an Accra-based research group, released the poll results on Monday that saw Mahama winning 52%, followed by 41.3% for Bawumia.
The poll has a 1.9% error margin.
Former president Mahama, 65, and current Vice President Bawumia, 60, are the two main contenders for the Dec. 7 election to replace President Nana Akufo-Addo after two terms.
Eleven other candidates are also running.
It found that voters were mainly concerned about the economy, jobs, education and infrastructure.
Mahama invested heavily in infrastructure during his 2012-17 presidency, when he faced criticism for power shortages and economic instability.
His government was also embroiled in corruption allegations, although Mahama was never directly accused.
He is running again as the candidate of the main opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC).
Bawumia, an economist and former central banker, is running for the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP), which grappled with Ghana’s worst economic crisis in a generation.
Both candidates have presented plans to boost the economy and improve livelihoods.
Ghana, the world’s second-largest cocoa producer, defaulted on most of its $30 billion external debt in 2022 after years of overstretched borrowing.
Akufo-Addo’s government secured a 3-year, $3 billion bailout from the International Monetary Fund in 2023 and is now on the final lap of a painful process required for the money to be disbursed.
The Economist Intelligence Unit predicted an NDC win in October due to the NPP’s economic record. Fitch Solutions published a similar forecast that month.
Both Mahama and Bawumia are from northern Ghana, a historic NDC stronghold where the NPP has been making inroads.
No party has ever won more than two consecutive terms in Ghana’s democratic history.
